H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Miami ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has strengthened modestly given that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less certain. Tammy was at first expected to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and very powerful cyclone that caused massive destruction and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding triggered by engineering flaws in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, along with big areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon warnings have now been released for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That implies hurricane conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the most recent cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy must spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a typhoon that might bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has triggered typhoon warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum sustained winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to cyclone expert Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon professionals formerly alerted typhoons could form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major hazards and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy